See your team’s chances for the title, Libertadores and Z4 of the Brasileirão

The mathematics department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais has published, with the end of this Sunday’s games (16/7), for the 15th round, the title chances, Libertadores and risk of relegation of the teams from Série A do Brasileir0. By their counts, Botafogo, the clear leader, has more than 80% chance of winning the title, and over 99% to guarantee itself in Libertadores-2024. See now how your team is doing through studies at UFMG, which is a reference in this matter.

See here the gallery of title chances, Z4 and Libertadores do Brasileirão-2023 (by UFMG)




Botafogo remains in the group and, not by chance, has more than an 80% chance of finishing as champion – Divulgation/Botafogo FR

Botafogo remains in the group and, not by chance, has more than an 80% chance of finishing as champion – Divulgation/Botafogo FR

Photo: Played10

1st BOTAFOGO, 39 points – 82.3% chance of being champion; 99.57% chance of Libertadores

2nd FLAMENGO, 27 points – 3.9% chance of being champion; 67.6% chance of Libertadores; 0.25% downgrade risk

3rd AWARD, 26 points – 4.8% chance of being champion; 68.1% chance of Libertadores; 0.4% risk of downgrade

4th SÃO PAULO, 25 points – 1.9% chance of being champion; 52% chance of Libertadores; 0.87% risk of relegation

5th FLUMINENSE, 25 points – 1.7% chance of being champion; 50.5% chance of Libertadores; 0.89% risk of relegation

6th PALM TREE, 25 points – 1% chance of being champion; 43.4% chance of Libertadores; 1.1% risk of relegation

7th BRAGANTINO, 24 points – 1.2% chance of being champion; 44.4% chance of Libertadores 1.4% risk of relegation

8th ATHLETICO, 23 points 0.86% chance of being champion; 35.6% chance of Libertadores 2.8% risk of relegation

9th FORTALEZA, 23 points – 0.65% chance of being champion; 32.7% chance of Libertadores; 3.0% risk of downgrade

10th CRUZEIRO, 22 points – 0.48% chance of being champion; 25.8% chance of Libertadores; 4.5% risk of relegation

11th INTERNATIONAL, 22 points – 0.53% chance of being champion; 26.5% chance of Libertadores; 4.5% risk of relegation

12th ATLÉTICO MINEIRO, 20 points – 0.35% chance of being champion; 21.7% chance of Libertadores; 7% risk of relegation

13th CUIABÁ, 19 points – 0.14% chance of being champion; 13.7% chance of Libertadores ;11.7% risk of relegation

14th SANTOS, 16 points – 0.02% chance of being champion; 3.7% chance of Libertadores; 34.7% risk of relegation

15th CORINTHIANS, 15 points – 0.09% chance of being champion; 9.2% chance of Libertadores; 21.5% risk of relegation

16th BAHIA, 13 points – 0.007% chance of being champion; 1.9% chance of Libertadores; 47.6% risk of relegation

17th GOIÁS, 11 points – 0.007% chance of being champion; 1.7% chance of Libertadores; 53.9% risk of relegation

18th CORITIBA, 11 points – 0.002% chance of being champion; 0.64% chance of Libertadores; 66.4% risk of relegation

19th VASCO, 9 points – 0.002% chance of being champion; 0.69% chance of Libertadores; 69.4% risk of relegation

20th AMÉRICA-MG, 9 points – 0.002% chance of being champion; 0.61% chance of Libertadores; 68.3% risk of relegation

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